What is an example of considering "alternative futures" in structured analysis?

Considering "alternative futures" within the framework of structured analysis involves the exploration of various potential scenarios that may arise from different assumptions or changing conditions. This method encourages analysts to think beyond a single predicted outcome, acknowledging that uncertainties and variables can lead to multiple plausible futures.

By exploring possible scenarios based on varying conditions, analysts can develop a more robust understanding of the potential impacts of different actions or events. This helps in strategic planning, risk assessment, and decision-making, enabling organizations to prepare for a range of circumstances rather than relying solely on a fixed trajectory.

This approach contrasts with predicting a singular outcome based solely on current trends, which narrows focus and overlooks the complexities of real-world dynamics. Establishing a baseline for data analysis and developing a routine for data verification are also important elements of the analytical process, but they do not specifically involve the act of considering multiple futures.